Elon Musk Anticipates that by 2029, AI Will Surpass Human Intelligence

By Consultants Review Team Wednesday, 13 March 2024

Elon Musk, the CEO of Tesla, now thinks that the day may not be far off when AI surpasses humans in intelligence due to its rapid growth. By the end of 2029, he predicts, artificial intelligence will really be smarter than all of humanity together.

Musk's conviction stems from a recent conversation between futurist Ray Kurzweil and podcaster Joe Rogan, during which Kurzweil predicted that artificial intelligence (AI) will surpass human intellect by 2029. Kurzweil, who has examined how technology is growing at an exponential rate, especially in artificial intelligence. His investigation led him to the conclusion that human computational power, algorithmic expertise, and data processing skills are all fast increasing. Therefore, he thinks that these developments will eventually bring AI systems up to par with and even beyond human intellect.

Kurzweil claims that his timescale is a cautious estimate and that AI might reach this milestone even sooner, perhaps within the next five years. Some may consider his timeline ambitious, since it suggests it could happen within the next 100 years. It's interesting to note that Kurzweil foresaw this progress in AI in 1999.

According to Kurzweil on the podcast, "we're not quite there, but we will be there, and by 2029 it will match any person." In actuality, people think I'm conservative. Many believe it will occur the following year or the year after. I did say that back in 1999. By 2029, I promised that we will match anyone. For thirty years, everyone believed that to be completely insane.Several hundred individuals from all around the world attended a meeting at Stanford University to discuss my forecast, and while some believed it would happen by 2029, others did not. They estimated that a century would pass

In response to Kurzweil's forecast, Elon Musk—who has frequently expressed concerns about the possible dangers of artificial intelligence—emphasized that the day when AI surpasses human intelligence would likely come much sooner, maybe even within the next year. According to Musk, artificial intelligence (AI) may not only match but also surpass human intellect as a whole by 2029. By next year, AI is likely to surpass human intelligence in its entirety. According to Musk's remark on Twitter ( now X), AI will likely surpass human intelligence around 2029 (now X).

Now, one thing is certain: AI research is accelerating, regardless of whether it surpasses human intellect by 2029 as Kurzweil forecasts or sooner as Musk indicates. This quick progress brings with it big problems as well as wonderful possibilities. According to experts, in order to use AI for good, mankind must be ready to mitigate any risks and make sure that AI research continues to be morally and practically sound. Undoubtedly, the next several years will play a crucial role in determining how AI develops and how it affects our environment.

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